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Understanding risk in investing: Lessons from the current market landscape

In this episode of Market Movers, Remy Blaire discusses the current state of the financial markets with Steve Alain Lawrence, the CIO at Balfour Group. They dive into the remarkable performance of precious metals, particularly gold, which has recently surpassed the $4,000 mark for the first time, marking its best performance during a government shutdown in decades. They explore the contrasting views of economists like Ray Dalio and Peter Schiff, who believe gold is undervalued, against concerns from figures like Ken Griffin regarding the U.S. currency’s stability.

Steve emphasizes the unique position of silver and copper in the market, highlighting silver’s essential role in manufacturing, especially with the rise of AI and technology. They also touch on the geopolitical factors affecting the rare earth sector and the interconnectedness of wall street and main street amid the ongoing government shutdown.

Steve shares his insights on the potential for a market correction, suggesting a retracement of 4 to 7 percent, while stressing the importance of a long-term investment strategy. Finally, he advises investors to focus on profitable companies and to understand their own risk tolerance, reminding us that investing is not just about numbers but also about self-awareness and education.

Decoding Bitcoin’s Surge: Beyond ETF Flows and Market Dynamics

“Bitcoin is continuing to lead the market right now. It’s not really a surprise to me.” – 04:48

Adam Morgan McCarthy, Senior Research Analyst at Kaiko, joins Remy Blaire to discuss the significant inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have amassed over $3.2 billion in just the past week. Remy poses the critical question of whether these Wall Street inflows are the primary drivers behind Bitcoin’s rally or if other factors are at play.

Adam responds by emphasizing the complexity of the situation, arguing that attributing the price increase solely to ETF flows oversimplifies the reality. He explains that the correlation between ETF inflows and Bitcoin’s price returns is relatively weak, with only about 15% of the price movement explained by these flows. Instead, he highlights several other key drivers, including the activities of digital asset treasury companies and the overall liquidity in the market, which has significantly improved.

As the conversation progresses, Adam notes that the current market environment is more stable than in previous surges, where Bitcoin’s price would often spike on thin order books, leading to rapid corrections. He explains that the enhanced liquidity now provides a stronger foundation for Bitcoin’s price movements, allowing for greater predictability and reduced volatility.

The discussion then shifts to the rising interest in options trading, particularly on iBit platforms. Adam introduces the concept of a “fear premium,” indicating that traders are currently willing to pay a premium for downside protection. He attributes this phenomenon to a difference in how risk is priced between traditional and crypto-native platforms, with traditional traders appearing more cautious amid Bitcoin’s fluctuations.

Remy and Adam also explore Bitcoin’s role in the broader cryptocurrency market. Adam asserts that Bitcoin continues to lead the market, driven by its liquidity and its inverse relationship with the dollar. He discusses the potential impact of macroeconomic factors, such as anticipated rate cuts, on Bitcoin’s performance. Interestingly, he mentions that Ethereum (ETH) has recently outperformed Bitcoin in a short timeframe, suggesting a dynamic shift in the market as ETH gains traction with its staking capabilities.

Gold and Bitcoin Soar: What It Means for Investors Amid Economic Uncertainty

Gabriela Berrospi, CEO & Founder of Latino Wall Street, joins Remy Blaire to discuss the recent surge in precious metals, particularly gold and silver, which have reached unprecedented levels amidst ongoing economic uncertainty. The segment opens with Remy highlighting that gold has surpassed the $4,000 mark for the first time, currently holding above $4,060. This rally has attracted attention from prominent economists and investors, including billionaire Ray Dalio, who recommends that investors allocate 15% of their portfolios to gold. In contrast, Peter Schiff warns that the rising gold prices signal the greatest inflation in U.S. history is on the horizon. Citadel CEO Ken Griffin expresses concern that gold’s ascent reflects a growing lack of trust in the U.S. currency.

Gabby asserts that the current rally in gold is indicative of a broader lack of trust in both the economy and the government, drawing historical parallels to past events where similar surges preceded significant changes. She notes that silver is also performing exceptionally well, often outpacing gold, yet remains underestimated in the market.

The conversation then shifts to Bitcoin, which has also reached new highs above $126,000. Gabby discusses the perception of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge, although she cautions against its volatility, suggesting that it should only occupy a small portion of an investment portfolio. In contrast, she views gold and silver as more stable traditional hedges against inflation.

As the episode progresses, Remy highlights the recent record highs of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Gabby points out the unusual correlation between the rising prices of gold and the S&P 500, which typically exhibit a reverse relationship. While she expresses optimism about the market’s performance as the year comes to a close, she raises concerns about potential corrections in the following year due to rising inflation and ongoing uncertainty.

Navigating the Future: The Impact of Community Banks and Stablecoins on the U.S. Economy

“I think that the key here is that there’s going to be more cuts in the pipeline, as most participants judged that it’s going to be appropriate to ease policy further.” – 01:33

Elias Haddad, Senior Market Strategist of FX at Brown Brothers Harriman, joins Remy Blaire to discuss the significance of community banks, referencing comments made by Fed Chair Powell.

As the conversation unfolds, Remy and Elias delve into the recent FOMC minutes, which reveal a consensus among officials regarding the need for further easing. Elias emphasizes that while there were no major surprises in the minutes, the potential for additional rate cuts remains, particularly if labor market data continues to show signs of weakness. He articulates concerns about the current monetary policy being too restrictive, which could worsen the already fragile labor market backdrop. Despite high inflation, Elias points out that the anticipated upside risks to inflation are not materializing, suggesting a possible dovish shift from the Fed by the December meeting.

The discussion then shifts to the U.S. dollar and the growing influence of stablecoins in global finance. Remy prompts Elias to explore the implications of stablecoin growth on the U.S. currency and Treasury markets. Elias challenges the prevailing narrative that an increase in stablecoin capitalization will significantly boost demand for the dollar and Treasuries. He outlines three key reasons for his skepticism: the relatively small size of the stablecoin market compared to the overall FX market, the likelihood that stablecoin inflows will consist of recycled money rather than new capital, and the structural challenges facing the U.S. dollar as a primary reserve currency.

Navigating Economic Uncertainty: The Rise of Gold and Options-Based ETFs

“Gold is really becoming the de facto reserve asset around the world.” – 00:01:02

Will Rhind, CEO of GraniteShares ETFs, joins Remy Blaire at the New York Stock Exchange to discuss the recent surge in gold prices, which have reached a historic high of over $4,070 per troy ounce. The segment opens with an overview of the factors driving this increase, including investor flight to safety amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability. Remy highlights the significant role that central banks have played in this trend, as they have been accumulating gold for over a decade, making it the world’s second-largest reserve asset.

Will explores the dynamics of the gold market, noting that gold has officially surpassed the euro as a preferred reserve asset, positioning it as a key alternative to the U.S. dollar. Remy and Will discuss the current economic landscape, where the S&P 500 continues to reach new highs, and gold is outpacing major equity averages, including Bitcoin.

Will shares insights into the factors that are likely to influence gold prices moving forward, such as ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, persistent inflation, and the easing of monetary policies by central banks. He emphasizes the record levels of government debt and the increasing money supply as critical elements contributing to gold’s rise.

The conversation shifts to gold mining stocks, which are also experiencing a resurgence. Will explains that while these stocks have historically lagged behind gold prices, they are now gaining traction. He discusses the challenges that mining companies face in controlling costs, which have often hindered their performance relative to gold itself.

Remy and Will also delve into the growing demand for options-based ETF strategies, particularly in the context of investors seeking alternative income sources in a high market environment. Will highlights GraniteShares’ yield boost ETFs, which offer substantial annual yields and weekly distributions, catering to investors looking to convert potential future growth into immediate income.

Crypto index, Crypto gaming, Crypto spending, Gold rally

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In this episode of CoinStreet, we dive into developments in the cryptocurrency and blockchain sectors. A new S&P index, the Digital Markets 50 Index, is set to track 15 cryptocurrencies and 35 blockchain-linked stocks, highlighting the growing integration of digital assets into global markets. This initiative, created in partnership with Denari, aims to provide investors with a clearer view of the evolving landscape.

Immutable co-founder Robbie Ferguson shares insights on the future of gaming and crypto, suggesting that major gaming companies are preparing to enter the crypto space as U.S. lawmakers move closer to regulatory clarity with the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. This legislation seeks to define the roles of key financial agencies in regulating the crypto market, paving the way for innovative token-based incentives in gaming.

Additionally, we explore a study by Changely and Simple, revealing that over 60% of users are already utilizing crypto cards for online transactions and everyday purchases. As the demand for gold remains strong, with prices reaching $4,000 an ounce, Goldman Sachs predicts that gold could soar to $5,000 an ounce, driven by central bank buying and increased investment in gold-linked ETFs. Jane King has the latest from the NYSE.

Former Paypal CEO Launches Evergreen Wealth

Bill Harris, Founder & CEO of Evergreen Wealth, joins Remy Blaire at the New York Stock Exchange to discuss how Evergreen Wealth combines human expertise and AI to redefine financial advice. Bill also elaborates on “dynamic portfolios” and explains how they maximize after-tax returns.

Pharma Companies Working to Make Deals with U.S. & Avoid Tariffs

Arthur Wong, Managing Director at S&P Global Ratings, joins Remy Blaire to discuss Pfizer investing $70 billion to expand U.S. manufacturing and join a new platform called Trumprx.gov, offering Americans deep discounts on many primary care drugs. Arthur shares what impacts the Pfizer deal could have on broader drug pricing policy in the U.S., especially if other companies follow suit.

Bitcoin’s First Week of ‘Uptober’: Record High Prices

Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, joins Remy Blaire to discuss the ‘Uptober’ rally and what would need to happen for Bitcoin funds to hit the $1 Trillion prediction. Additionally, Matt shares what technical and macro factors are most critical to watch for Bitcoins price movement.

Tokenized Stocks Growing Along with Tokenization Industry

Robert Leshner, CEO of Superstate, joins Remy Blaire at the New York Stock Exchange to discuss Superstate’s Opening Bell platform for tokenized stocks. Additionally, Robert shares how Superstate is involved with tokenizing Galaxy Digital’s stock on Solana and what that means for for the industry.