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Oil Market Volatility and Geopolitical Threats: A Conversation with Rystad Energy’s Janiv Shah

Oil markets are surging amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. WTI and Brent crude futures rallied sharply, with Brent briefly hitting the $100 mark. Global leaders are now scrambling to stabilize energy markets and keep oil flowing through critical shipping routes.

Janiv Shah, Vice President at Rystad Energy, joins Remy Blaire to break down the market reaction and the geopolitical risks driving oil prices higher. He explains why the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint responsible for roughly 20% of global petroleum consumption, remains the key factor determining whether oil prices continue to surge.

In response to rising risks in the Persian Gulf, President Trump announced a $20 billion plan through the U.S. Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance for ships navigating the region. At the same time, the United States plans to release 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, with deliveries beginning next week and expected to continue for up to 120 days.

Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has unveiled the largest emergency oil release in its history, unlocking 400 million barrels in an attempt to stabilize prices and offset supply disruptions. The G7 is also maintaining pressure on Russia, with French President Emmanuel Macron confirming that the turmoil in the Middle East will not lead to the lifting of sanctions against Moscow.

With reports of refinery run cuts in Asia, declining global product inventories, and insurance companies pulling coverage for ships in the region, the energy market faces significant uncertainty in the months ahead.

Ransomware Could Cost $275 Billion by 2031—Experts Warn of Rising Cyber Threats

The White House has unveiled a new national cybersecurity strategy, signaling a major shift toward proactive cyber defense against nation-states, ransomware gangs, and global cybercriminal organizations. Cybersecurity expert Youssef El Maddarsi, co-Founder and CBO of Naoris Protocol, joins Remy Blaire breaks down what this new strategy means for businesses, governments and the future of digital security.

Ransomware attacks are projected to cost victims $275 billion by 2031, making cybersecurity one of the most critical issues in the digital age. The new strategy calls on federal agencies to aggressively target cyber threats such as phishing, malware, and ransomware, while also strengthening public-private partnerships, information sharing, and advanced security technologies.

In this conversation, Youssef explains why cybersecurity in 2026 is no longer just about building a defensive perimeter. Instead, resilience now requires continuous validation of systems, decentralized infrastructure, and preparation for the coming “post-quantum” era of cryptography.

We also explore the growing role of artificial intelligence in cybersecurity. AI can help detect threats faster, but it can also empower attackers through polymorphic cyber threats that evolve and adapt in real time. That means companies must rethink how they protect their infrastructure, identities, and networks.

Another key theme is the emerging role of blockchain and decentralization in cybersecurity. Rather than only validating financial transactions, blockchain technology could be used to verify the integrity of devices, software, data, and digital systems across their entire lifecycle.

As quantum computing advances, experts warn that traditional encryption may eventually become obsolete. Preparing for post-quantum cryptography could be essential to protecting the global digital economy.

Oil Surges 8% as Middle East Tensions Shake Markets—What It Means for Stocks, AI, and Crypto

Andrew Rocco, a Stock Strategist, Manager, Tech Innovators Portfolio Manager at Zacks Investment Research, joins Remy Blaire to break down the implications of the latest geopolitical developments for the markets and where investors may be rotating capital. Global markets are reacting to major geopolitical shocks as tensions in the Middle East escalate.

Despite alarming headlines, Andrew emphasizes the importance of watching price action versus news, noting that markets remain surprisingly resilient and are still trading near key technical levels. If tensions ease, he believes the current bull market could continue.

We delve into the macro outlook, including growing concerns about stagflation. While some investors fear rising inflation due to geopolitical instability and tariffs, Andrew points to real-time data suggesting inflation may actually be much lower than many expect, with only modest pressure possible from higher energy prices.

The duo also discuss the AI infrastructure boom. Even with recent market anxiety around AI funding, hyperscalers are expected to spend up to $600 billion on AI infrastructure, fueling massive demand for energy, fiber optics, and data center technology. Instead of betting on specific AI applications, Andrew highlights the “picks and shovels” strategy, focusing on companies supporting the backbone of the AI revolution—from power generation to photonics and data infrastructure.

The conversation also covers crypto markets, where Bitcoin and related stocks have recently pulled back. Andrew explains why he still sees long-term opportunity in Bitcoin, growing stablecoin adoption, and companies like Coinbase and Circle as regulation around digital assets continues to evolve.

Finally, we discuss the regulatory outlook in the United States, including potential stablecoin legislation that could transform payment systems by enabling faster, cheaper, and 24/7 financial transactions.

From AI to Life Sciences: Ireland Positions Itself for the Future Economy

Michael Lohan, CEO of IDA Ireland, joins Remy Blaire to discuss how Ireland has managed to navigate global economic headwinds while continuing to attract record levels of foreign investment.

Ireland’s economy has seen impressive expansion, with strong growth driven by exports, pharmaceutical demand from the U.S. and major technology companies expanding their operations in Dublin. IDA Ireland reported a record 323 investment projects last year, highlighting the country’s long-standing strength as a hub for foreign direct investment.

In this conversation, Michael explains how Ireland is positioning itself for the future by focusing on key sectors like technology, fintech, life sciences, semiconductors, and artificial intelligence. Global leaders such as Google, Microsoft, and AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are continuing to invest and grow their presence in Ireland.

Another major focus is talent and workforce development. Ireland has been investing heavily in AI education, upskilling, and reskilling programs, with nearly 35,000 workers trained in new technologies last year to help businesses adapt to digital transformation and innovation.

We also discuss how Ireland plans to use its strong fiscal position to invest in major infrastructure projects, including power generation, transportation, and water systems—key components needed to support a growing population and expanding enterprise base.

Looking ahead to 2026 and beyond, Michael explains how Ireland aims to strengthen its role as a strategic bridge between the United States and Europe, especially as the country prepares to assume the EU presidency later this year.

Bitcoin Holds Above $70K as Crypto Market Stabilizes Amid Global Uncertainty

Andy Baehr, Managing Director of Asset Management at GSR, joins Remy Blaire to discuss why the crypto market appears to be stabilizing rather than entering a full risk-on rally and what that could mean for the next move in Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market.

Andy explains how institutional investors are approaching the market cautiously, actively managing macro risks instead of aggressively chasing upside. While overall market energy remains low, major institutions like Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Kraken, and Nasdaq continue to build crypto infrastructure and expand trading capabilities, including 24/7 futures markets.

We also explore the latest trends in crypto derivatives and options trading. Activity is shifting from crypto-native platforms like Deribit to regulated U.S. markets and Bitcoin ETF options such as IBIT, creating a new dynamic between traditional finance and crypto-native markets.

Despite ongoing concerns around inflation and geopolitics, major assets have shown resilience. Bitcoin has remained between $63K and $71K, Ethereum near $2,000, and Solana around $85, suggesting the market may be forming a strong foundation for the next move.

Finally, we discuss the potential impact of crypto regulation, including the upcoming Clarity Act and the growing importance of stablecoins, which now exceed $300 billion in total value. Clearer rules around stablecoin yield could unlock major growth for the industry and benefit leading blockchains like Ethereum and Solana.

Crypto Developer Activity Falls to Multi-Year Lows as AI Absorbs the Industry’s Talent

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Weekly code commits are down roughly 75% from early 2025 highs and active developers have fallen 56%, even as overall GitHub usage accelerates. The gap is widening.

Developer activity in public crypto repositories has fallen to multi-year lows, with weekly code commits down approximately 75% from their early 2025 peak and the number of active developers declining 56% over the same period, according to data tracking open-source contributions across blockchain ecosystems. 

The decline is playing out against a backdrop of surging overall GitHub activity, making the crypto-specific drop all the more conspicuous: the platform is gaining contributors in nearly every other technical domain, and artificial intelligence is absorbing the lion’s share of that growth.

The data from individual ecosystems tells a consistent story. Ethereum, which has approximately 1,759 public repositories and has historically been the most active developer ecosystem in crypto, has seen a 54% decline in activity over the past three months and a 34% drop in weekly active developers, who now number around 2,800. Other major chains are exhibiting similar trajectories. Most major blockchain networks are losing developer headcount, and while more experienced contributors now account for a higher share of commits — suggesting a consolidation rather than a complete collapse — the volume of new developers entering the space has dropped sharply.

The talent competition with artificial intelligence is the dominant structural explanation. LinkedIn’s January 2026 labor market report documents the creation of 1.3 million new AI jobs globally between 2023 and 2025. AI engineer positions expanded 13 times over that period; roles described as forward-deployed engineer and product manager grew 42 times. Crunchbase reports $211 billion in global AI funding in 2025, accounting for roughly half of all venture capital deployed worldwide. By comparison, PitchBook pegs crypto venture capital deal value at $19.7 billion over the same period — meaningful, but operating at a categorically different scale of capital attraction.

The talent drain has become visible in the departure of senior figures from some of the industry’s highest-profile projects in early 2026. Akshay BD, who spent five years building Solana’s developer ecosystem, posted a note saying he was ‘grateful to pass the torch.’ Nader Dabit left Eigen Labs to join Cognition, working on software agents that produce production-grade code autonomously. Kyle Samani stepped back from managing partner duties at Multicoin to explore AI and robotics. Anthony Rose left zkSync after four years. The clustering of these departures was not coordinated, but their concentration in the ecosystem-builder and infrastructure layer — roles that connect capital to projects and developers to distribution — was notable.

A separate factor is the shift toward closed-source development. As crypto projects mature and face greater competitive pressure, more teams are moving their codebases off GitHub and into private repositories — a logical business decision but one that makes the public commit data look worse than the true state of builder activity. Electric Capital’s most recent developer report, updated in January 2026, found that while the total number of monthly active developers fell roughly 7% year-over-year in 2024, developers with two or more years of experience hit an all-time high, up 27%. Core builders are staying; newcomers and short-term participants are leaving.

The long-run question the data raises is whether the structural decline in new developer inflows will ultimately affect the quality and pace of protocol innovation. Bear markets have historically seen developer attrition followed by recovery once prices stabilize. But the AI pull is qualitatively different from a price cycle: it is offering developers faster product cycles, larger immediate distribution, deeper capital pools, and roles at the center of what is widely described as the most important technological transition in a generation. Whether crypto’s promise of rebuilding financial infrastructure proves compelling enough to draw back — or retain — developers who have experienced what working at frontier AI companies feels like is the central talent question for the industry over the next two years.

Ripple Launches $750 Million Share Buyback at a $50 Billion Valuation

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The buyback values the blockchain payments firm 25% above its November funding round, even as bitcoin and XRP have fallen more than 40% and 50% respectively from their peaks.

Ripple has begun buying back shares from employees and investors at a valuation of approximately $50 billion through a tender offer expected to run through April, according to CoinDesk’s reporting.

The program targets up to $750 million in shares, a figure that positions Ripple as one of the most valuable private companies in digital assets despite the broader market downturn that has erased trillions in crypto market capitalization since October 2024.

The $50 billion figure represents a 25% increase from the $40 billion valuation attached to Ripple’s most recent fundraising round, completed in November 2025. That round raised $500 million from an institutional roster that included affiliates of Citadel Securities, Fortress Investment Group, Pantera Capital, Galaxy Digital, Brevan Howard, and Marshall Wace. 

The higher implied valuation comes despite the fact that bitcoin has fallen more than 40% from its October peak and XRP, the token most closely associated with Ripple’s payments infrastructure, has declined more than 50% over the same period.

The timing is notable because it follows a failed predecessor. In September 2025, Ripple attempted to repurchase up to $1 billion in shares at a $40 billion valuation but saw the lowest participation rate of any buyback attempt in its history, with employees and investors declining to sell at what they believed was an undervalued price. That reluctance was itself a signal of internal confidence. The new offer, at a materially higher price, is designed in part to address that gap and provide liquidity to shareholders who may need it amid a prolonged bear market.

Ripple’s business has expanded substantially beyond its original focus on cross-border payment infrastructure for banks. The company acquired Prime Brokerage Hidden Road for $1.25 billion and purchased the Treasury Management business division GTreasury for $1 billion, broadening its footprint into institutional financial services. Its stablecoin RLUSD has been gaining traction with fintech firms for cross-border settlements. Ripple recently said it has processed more than $100 billion in total payment volume across its network.

CEO Brad Garlinghouse and president Monica Long have previously maintained that an initial public offering in the United States is not currently planned. That stance has held across multiple rounds of speculation and several funding cycles, suggesting the company is in no hurry to face the disclosure requirements and quarterly earnings pressure that comes with a public listing. The buyback program, which gives shareholders a structured exit at a premium to the November round price, functions as a partial substitute for the liquidity a public market would otherwise provide.

Goldman Sachs has emerged this week as the largest holder of spot XRP exchange-traded funds, according to separate filings, adding institutional context to the broader XRP ecosystem’s recovery story. Whether that institutional engagement translates into a sustained price recovery for XRP — and whether that in turn supports Ripple’s ability to raise again at a higher valuation — will be the operative question for shareholders deciding whether to participate in the tender.

Binance Sues the Wall Street Journal on claims that DOJ Opens Iran Sanctions Investigation into crypto transfers

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The exchange filed a defamation suit in New York hours after the paper reported the Justice Department was probing whether Iranian networks used the Binance platform to evade US sanctions.

Binance filed a defamation lawsuit against Dow Jones & Company, publisher of the Wall Street Journal, in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York on Wednesday, hours after the newspaper published a report that the Justice Department is investigating whether Iranian networks used the exchange to move funds in violation of American sanctions. The collision of the two developments – an escalating legal offensive against the media and a fresh federal inquiry – created one of the most volatile news cycles that the world’s largest crypto exchange has faced since its $4.3 billion settlement with the US government in 2023.

The Wall Street Journal’s Wednesday report said that DOJ officials have been contacting people with knowledge of transactions on the platform and gathering evidence. However, it was unable to determine whether the investigation is targeting Binance itself or customers who used the exchange. 

The investigation follows an earlier WSJ article published on February 23 that alleged Chinese entities had sent $1.7 billion in crypto through Binance to digital wallets linked to Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, and that internal investigators who flagged those transactions were subsequently fired. Binance’s defamation lawsuit targets that February article directly.

In its complaint, Binance alleged the February piece contained ‘false and defamatory’ statements, that the exchange had provided factual corrections before publication which the Journal failed to incorporate, and that the newspaper ‘prioritized filing quickly on the heels of the NYT so that it could maximize views of the article.’ The suit targets at least 11 allegedly false statements, requests compensatory damages, attorney fees, and demands a jury trial. 

Binance’s global head of litigation Dugan Bliss said the lawsuit was ‘a necessary step to defend ourselves against misinformation, hold the WSJ accountable for prioritizing clicks over journalistic integrity, and address the significant reputational harm and business consequences that have resulted.’

Binance said it had never directly transacted with any sanctioned entities and described the activity flagged in the WSJ’s reporting as part of a ‘sophisticated, multi-jurisdictional pattern of financial activity spanning Asia, the Middle East, and beyond’ that the exchange itself identified, reported to law enforcement, and resolved. The company said direct exposure to Iran’s four major crypto exchanges had fallen 97.3%, from $4.19 million in January 2024 to $110,000 in January 2026. It also said it processed more than 71,000 law enforcement requests in 2025 and helped freeze and recover more than $131 million linked to illicit activity.

Meanwhile, the DOJ has opened a probe into alleged Iran-linked crypto transfers. It remains unclear, however, if Binance itself is under investigation. The decision to sue the WSJ on the same day that the DOJ story ran — before it could fully absorb the second report — may have been legally strategic. Binance’s former CEO Changpeng Zhao, who served four months in a US prison in 2024 before receiving a pardon from President Trump last October, has not commented publicly on Wednesday’s developments.

SEC and CFTC End Turf Wars With Landmark Crypto Oversight Deal

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A memorandum of understanding formalizes joint enforcement, joint examinations and a shared ‘golden age’ vision for digital asset regulation.

The two agencies at the center of a long jurisdictional battle over American financial markets ended their rivalry on Wednesday, signing a memorandum of understanding (MOU) that formally commits the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to coordinated oversight, with crypto assets listed as one of the core priorities of the new arrangement.

The agreement, signed by SEC chairman Paul Atkins and CFTC chairman Michael Selig, establishes a framework for the two regulators to share data, coordinate enforcement actions, conduct joint examinations of firms that operate across both jurisdictions, and develop a unified classification framework for digital assets. 

Alongside the MOU, both agencies announced the creation of a Joint Harmonization Initiative, co-led by Robert Teply from the SEC and Meghan Tente from the CFTC. It will address product definitions, clearing and margin frameworks, regulatory reporting, and cross-market surveillance.

‘For decades, regulatory turf wars, duplicative agency registrations, and different sets of regulations between the SEC and CFTC have stifled innovation and pushed market participants to other jurisdictions,’ Atkins said in a statement. ‘By aligning regulatory definitions, coordinating oversight, and facilitating seamless, secure data sharing between agencies, we will ensure our rules and regulations deliver the clarity market participants deserve.’ Selig framed the initiative as part of a broader effort to usher in what he called a ‘golden age of American finance.’

The practical significance for crypto firms hopes to be substantial. Under the prior arrangement, a digital asset company could face overlapping enforcement actions from both regulators simultaneously, be required to submit parallel registration applications, and receive conflicting guidance on whether a given product was a security or a commodity. 

The MOU says that when enforcement matters overlap, the two agencies will ‘confer on potential charges and relief, sequencing of filings, litigation strategy and public communications’ – eliminating the kind of duplicative prosecution that has historically consumed resources on both sides.

The agreement is a structural move, not a symbolic one. For the first time, the two regulators are embedding cross-agency coordination directly into their operational workflows. A harmonization website is being created where firms can request coordinated meetings with both agencies simultaneously, streamlining the approval process for new digital asset products. Atkins has previously argued that ‘shared supervisory findings, subject to assurances of confidentiality, should be the norm rather than the exception.’

Both Atkins and Selig were appointed by President Trump and arrived at their agencies with records of advising crypto clients in the private sector. They have made regulatory clarity for digital assets a top priority from day one. The MOU is the most concrete operational manifestation of that agenda to date. The CLARITY Act, the legislation intended to provide the statutory backbone for the new framework, remains stalled in the senate over disputes around stablecoin yield provisions and decentralized finance oversight. By acting now through an inter-agency agreement, the SEC and CFTC are signaling they will not wait for congress to provide the foundation. The agencies have opened public comment on the initiative, and market participants can submit input through the SEC’s harmonization initiative page.

Mastercard Recruits Solana, Binance, PayPal and Ripple for a New 85-Firm Crypto Partner Program

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The payments network is building a formal ecosystem to connect blockchain infrastructure with its global rails — mirroring, and competing with, similar moves by Visa.

Mastercard unveiled a new Crypto Partner Program on Wednesday that brings together more than 85 companies from across the digital asset and payments industries, signaling the card network’s most ambitious attempt yet to position itself as the connective tissue between blockchain-native payment systems and the conventional financial infrastructure that processes most of the world’s transactions. The program’s partner list includes some of the largest names in crypto: Binance, PayPal, Ripple, Circle, Gemini, Paxos, Crypto.com, Bybit, Anchorage Digital, Nexo, and SoFi, as well as blockchain network teams from Solana, Avalanche, Aptos, and Polygon.

The initiative targets practical applications. Mastercard has identified three primary use cases where it believes blockchain can deliver measurable value relative to existing infrastructure: cross-border money transfers, business-to-business payments, and high-volume global disbursements – payroll, vendor settlements, and similar large-scale corporate payment flows. 

These are areas where the speed, programmability, and cost structure of on-chain settlement have genuine comparative advantages over traditional correspondent banking rails.Partners in the program will work directly with Mastercard teams to design products that combine on-chain tools — programmable payments, tokenized assets, smart contract settlement — with Mastercard’s established card infrastructure and its network of banks, merchants, and consumers across more than 200 countries and territories. 

Ripple’s XRP plays a specific functional role in this context, given XRP’s original design purpose as a bridge currency for fast, low-cost cross-border liquidity provision. The inclusion of PayPal, which has 430 million active accounts and its own PYUSD stablecoin, adds a consumer-facing distribution dimension that many crypto exchanges cannot match.

The initiative also includes compliance and intelligence infrastructure: Elliptic and TRM Labs, two of the leading blockchain analytics and transaction monitoring firms, are listed as partners. Their inclusion signals that Mastercard is building regulatory integrity into the program’s design from the outset, not treating compliance as an afterthought. Mastercard’s existing Crypto Credential program, which ensures transactions processed through its network meet regulatory requirements and security standards, provides a foundation the new partner program can build on.

Mastercard’s Raj Dhamodharan and Sherri Haymond, the executives overseeing the initiative, described crypto assets as having entered ‘a new phase’ of integration with the traditional financial system. ‘As digital asset technologies mature, Mastercard will continue focusing on what we do best: enabling trust, setting standards, and connecting systems at scale,’ they said. The program builds on earlier Mastercard blockchain efforts including its Start Path accelerator for blockchain startups and its Engage platform for connecting crypto companies with its commercial network.

The context for the launch is competitive as much as strategic. Visa has been moving in a parallel direction, testing stablecoin-based payment settlements with a number of its issuing banks and running blockchain payment pilots with several of the same fintech partners Mastercard is now enrolling. The implicit race between the two card networks to become the trust and settlement layer for digital asset commerce mirrors the competition that played out over decades in conventional payment processing — with the significant difference that the regulatory environment, the technology stack, and the pace of change are all substantially more volatile than anything either company navigated in its original build-out.