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Wall Street Struggles Amid Geopolitics: A Long-Term Investor’s Perspective

Wall Street is preparing for a higher open, but the broader market is coming off a difficult stretch. All three major U.S. indexes closed at new lows for the year on Thursday, as geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Mohnish Pabrai, the founder and CEO of Pabrai Wagons Advisors, joins Remy Blaire to share a long-term perspective on today’s market volatility and where investors may still find value.

Historically, midterm election years can be challenging for markets, and recent developments surrounding the Iran conflict have added additional pressure on U.S. equities during the first two weeks of the month.

We have a conversation on why recent market volatility may actually create opportunities for long-term investors, whether international markets could outperform the U.S. again this year, why the perceived “AI threat” to many software companies may be overstated, undervalued software businesses trading at attractive valuations and opportunities in the metallurgical coal sector due to supply-demand imbalances

We also discuss specific areas the firm is focusing on right now, including companies like Constellation Software and Alpha Metallurgical Resources, as well as how share buybacks and strong fundamentals can create long-term value for investors.

Finally, the conversation closes with an important reminder for investors: most of the market’s long-term gains historically come from a very small percentage of stocks, making it critical to identify strong compounders and hold them over time.

Markets Near All-Time Highs, But Financial Stocks Are Falling Fast: Insights from Todd Sohn

Todd Sohn, Chief ETF Strategist at Strategas Asset Management, joins Remy Blaire to break down what investors should be watching closely over the coming days. We’re taking a deep dive into the financial sector as warning signals begin to surface beneath the market’s relatively calm exterior.

Despite the S&P 500 sitting just a few percentage points below its all-time highs, financial stocks have quietly become the weakest-performing sector of the week, falling more than 11%. At the same time, trading volumes in financial ETFs are surging — a trend that has historically appeared during major macroeconomic events.

We discuss accelerating outflows from financial ETFs, rising put option activity signaling growing investor caution, large-cap banks masking broader weakness within the sector and private credit stress and redemption restrictions at some firms

While mega-cap banks have so far helped stabilize the financial sector, weakness is emerging across regional banks, insurance companies, and private asset managers. Investors are also beginning to see early signs of stress in credit markets, including widening corporate spreads and growing outflows from bank loan ETFs.

Todd explains why this moment could represent a “fight or flight” point for financials — and what it might mean for the broader market.

We also explore practical strategies for investors navigating this environment, including diversification beyond mega-cap growth stocks, exposure to real assets like energy, materials, and metals, defensive portfolio positioning during periods of volatility and alternative strategies such as low-volatility and managed futures

Finally, we discuss the growing concerns around private credit markets and whether the recent cracks could signal broader financial stress ahead.

U.S. PCE Inflation Eased to 2.8% in January, Core Reading Holds at 3.1%

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Price pressures moderated slightly on a headline basis but remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target

U.S. inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index edged lower to 2.8% on an annual basis in January 2026, down from 2.9% in December, according to data published Friday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. On a monthly basis, the PCE price index rose 0.3%, a slight deceleration from the 0.4% increase recorded in December.

The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve as it conducts monetary policy, rose 0.4% from the prior month and 3.1% from a year earlier, unchanged from the prior month’s annual reading and in line with economist forecasts compiled by Dow Jones.

The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting, in which interest rate cuts will be discussed, will be held on March 18. Economists have pushed back their expectations for a rate cut from March to June, expecting two quarter-point reductions by year end. 

The next PCE release, covering February 2026 data, is scheduled for April 9.

View the full report here: https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-january-2026

Tether Courts U.S. Market With $500 Billion Valuation Target and New Dollar Token

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Bloomberg reports the stablecoin giant is pushing hard into American finance, backed by Trump allies and Treasury holdings, while scrutiny over transparency intensifies

Tether Holdings, the company behind the world’s most widely used stablecoin, is mounting an aggressive push into the U.S. market, launching a new domestic token, lobbying Washington, and courting investors at a reported valuation of $500 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published this week.

The firm posted more than $10 billion in profit last year, a figure that CEO Paolo Ardoino says funds a rapidly expanding global portfolio of more than 140 investments. Tether holds approximately $193 billion in reserves, of which 63% is allocated to U.S. Treasuries, making it, by its own account, the 17th largest holder of American government debt globally.

The push is a change in direction for Tether, and comes with powerful allies. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, whose family firm holds a stake in Tether, has been a key supporter. Yet scrutiny is growing. Democratic Senator Jack Reed has proposed legislation requiring audits of foreign dollar-backed stablecoins. Transparency has long been a concern, with critics pointing to the lack of information on Tether’s full exposure. Tether has told investors that it plans to publish a full audit by the end of 2026, and Ardoino acknowledged the company is in talks with Big Four auditors, telling Bloomberg: “I will not make a commitment, but it’s super high priority.”

SEC Advisory Panel Backs Tokenized Securities, With Guardrails Attached

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The agency’s Investor Advisory Committee voted to recommend a regulated path forward for blockchain-based stock trading, as Chairman Atkins signals a formal exemption is imminent

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s Investor Advisory Committee has voted to recommend the agency move forward on a regulatory framework for tokenized securities, offering cautious but meaningful institutional endorsement for one of the more consequential shifts under consideration in American capital markets.

The committee voted to support narrow exemptions for blockchain-based equity trading, on the condition that any such activity comes with mandatory disclosures, routine outside supervision, and a requirement that trading of tokenized equity securities ensures all investors receive the best terms for their orders. The committee’s membership includes veterans from major trading firms, institutional investors and academics.

The core appeal of tokenization lies in its ability to ease the settlement process. Traditional stock trading routes transactions through brokers, transfer agents and centralized settlement databases, a chain that can take a day or more to complete. By placing a stock on-chain, the delivery of the tokenized security and the payment can happen as a single transaction, with ownership records embedded directly into a single blockchain, according to the committee’s recommendation document. 

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, speaking at the meeting, welcomed the committee’s recognition that tokenization can enhance settlement efficiency, reduce settlement risk, and eliminate unnecessary intermediaries.

Atkins signaled that formal action is close. “I expect the Commission to soon consider an innovation exemption to facilitate limited trading of certain tokenized securities with an eye toward developing a long-term regulatory framework,” he told attendees, adding that the agency’s Crypto Task Force has hosted several roundtables, met with hundreds of market participants, and solicited broad public feedback over the past thirteen months. The exemption, he noted, would be limited in both time and scope.

The committee was careful to flag the risks alongside the opportunity. “The most significant risk associated with the tokenization of equity securities is that these reforms or grants of exemptive relief could introduce new risks that investors do not understand and impose higher costs that outweigh the benefits of tokenization,” according to the approved recommendation document.

The vote follows a sequence of regulatory moves that have steadily narrowed the uncertainty around tokenized assets. In January, SEC staff issued a joint statement affirming that tokenized securities remain subject to federal securities law regardless of whether ownership is recorded on-chain or off-chain. In early March, the Commission filed a broader crypto asset taxonomy framework with the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, initiating interagency review for the first time at the Commission level.

A CBDC Ban Hitched a Ride on a Housing Bill. Now It Faces an Uncertain Road Ahead.

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The U.S. Senate passed an 89-10 vote to block the Fed from issuing a digital dollar, but the provision’s survival depends on a House chamber with different priorities

The U.S. Senate has voted to ban the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC), but the measure arrived in an unusual vehicle: a sweeping bipartisan housing bill that has little else to do with digital finance, and that now faces significant headwinds in the House of Representatives.

The 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act passed the Senate by an overwhelming 89-10 margin, with the CBDC prohibition tucked into a standalone section near the end of the 303-page bill. The provision, which occupies just two pages of legislation, bars the Fed from issuing or creating a central bank digital currency, or any digital asset substantially similar to one, directly or indirectly through a financial institution or other intermediary, with a sunset clause running through December 31, 2030. A carve-out preserves permissionless, private dollar-denominated currencies that fully protect the privacy of users.

The housing bill’s primary focus is entirely separate. The legislation aims to lessen government regulations on housing and provide incentives for state and local governments to ease land-use regulations, while also controversially banning large investors from purchasing single-family homes, a provision demanded by President Trump but opposed by many free-market conservatives.

The CBDC language was reportedly added at the urging of House conservatives, who had pressed leadership to secure a ban as part of earlier compromises on crypto-related measures. The White House issued a statement supporting the bill and explicitly backing the CBDC restriction, an unusual alignment given that Democrats, who helped carry the Senate vote, have generally resisted efforts to pre-emptively limit the Fed’s ability to study or develop a digital dollar.

Industry groups based in the U.S. praised the vote. Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber, said financial privacy is a cornerstone of American freedom and that any decision to authorize a CBDC must remain with Congress and the American people. Blockchain Association CEO Summer Mersinger argued that a government-issued CBDC would threaten core American values including financial privacy, civil liberties, and limits on state power.

The path forward is far from clear. House Republicans have skirmished with their Senate counterparts for weeks over key provisions, including the ban on large institutional investors in single-family homes. Rep. French Hill, chair of the House Financial Services Committee, said it is critical to get the details right and address concerns raised by House members with the Senate bill. Some conservative Republicans in the House are also unhappy that the CBDC provision is temporary rather than permanent. President Trump, meanwhile, has threatened to veto all legislation until Congress passes the SAVE Act, a voter-ID reform bill, adding another layer of uncertainty to the timeline.

The Senate vote places the U.S. sharply at odds with the directions taken in the European Union and UK, where authorities are actively developing, rather than restricting, CBDCs. The European Central Bank is pressing ahead on both retail and wholesale fronts. Assuming EU co-legislators adopt the enabling regulation during 2026, a pilot exercise and initial transactions could begin as early as mid-2027, with a potential first issuance of the digital euro targeted for 2029, according to the ECB. 

In the UK, the Bank of England and HM Treasury are still working through a multi-year design phase, with a decision on whether to proceed expected later in 2026 and the earliest possible issuance of a digital pound placed in the second half of the decade. Unlike the EU, the UK has yet to lay out a specific legal framework for a digital pound, reflecting a more cautious posture, though one that stops well short of an outright ban. 

The Bank for International Settlements has long positioned itself as a cautious but broadly supportive voice on CBDCs, describing them as a potential “sea change” for the monetary system. Its annual survey found that by late 2024, 43% of central banks had stepped up wholesale CBDC work in direct response to the rise of private digital currencies and stablecoins.

Tokenized Crude Oil Startup LITRO Eyes 2027 Launch With Pilot Testing Set for This Spring

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The project aims to bring the $6 trillion oil market on-chain, backed by a former Petronas trading executive and built on Ethereum’s Arbitrum network

A new blockchain project called LITRO is preparing to take one of the world’s most economically significant commodities on-chain, with pilot testing due to begin as early as next month and a full commercial launch penciled in for January 2027.

The project is being developed by the International Digital Exchange, known as INDEX, and is led by Baron Lamarre, a former trading executive at Malaysian state oil giant Petronas. The testnet and product demo are scheduled to roll out between March and May 2026, ahead of an official launch in January 2027, Lamarre told CoinDesk in an interview.

The core mechanic is straightforward in concept, if ambitious in execution. Each LITRO token represents one litre of verified physical crude oil, with the token’s value indexed to major global benchmarks including Brent and West Texas Intermediate. Rather than creating another speculative digital asset, Lamarre says the project is designed to remain strictly tethered to real-world supply.

Oil producers wishing to participate pledge their certified reserves to the INDEX platform, which are then verified by independent auditors for quantity, authenticity, and legal ownership before any tokens are minted. “Only audited and verified reserves can be tokenized,” Lamarre told CoinDesk, adding that the physical oil remains at the producer’s facility while legal title is assigned to the INDEX system. The project is currently being built on Arbitrum, an Ethereum scaling solution, and is designed to be compatible with any EVM-compatible blockchain.

The proposition for traders centers on liquidity and accessibility. Token holders can redeem LITRO for cash or, eventually, for physical crude oil delivery, via a smart logistics routing system that matches oil grades, arranges vessel and terminal logistics, issues electronic bills of lading and coordinates delivery using IoT sensors, vessel tracking and AI-driven optimization.

The timing reflects broader momentum in the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization market. The RWA market reportedly stands at over $25 billion today, but is predominantly driven by tokenized financial instruments such as government bonds, leaving physical commodities largely untouched. LITRO’s proponents argue the oil market is a natural candidate for disruption given its scale and the inefficiencies that persist within it.

The project is still at an early stage, and its January 2027 target remains contingent on the outcome of its pilot program. Whether institutions and oil producers will embrace a blockchain-based settlement layer for physical crude, particularly given the sector’s deep entrenchment in legacy infrastructure, remains the central question the coming months of testing will need to answer.

Palantir and Nvidia Unveil Joint Sovereign AI Architecture for Enterprise and Government Deployments

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The partnership delivers a turnkey AI datacenter stack, from hardware procurement to application deployment, targeting customers with strict data sovereignty requirements

Palantir Technologies and Nvidia have announced a joint reference architecture designed to give enterprises and governments a fully integrated, on-premise AI operating system, combining Nvidia’s latest accelerated computing hardware with Palantir’s software suite in a single deployable stack.

The product, called the Palantir AI OS Reference Architecture (AIOS-RA) is built on Nvidia’s Enterprise Reference Architectures and tested to run Palantir’s full software lineup, including AIP, Foundry, Apollo, Rubix and AIP Hub. The architecture is purpose-built to run on Nvidia Blackwell Ultra systems, equipped with eight Blackwell Ultra GPUs and Spectrum-X Ethernet networking for AI training and inference workloads.

The partnership targets a specific and growing segment of the enterprise AI market, namely customers who cannot route sensitive data through public cloud infrastructure. The sovereign AI architecture is particularly critical for customers with existing GPU infrastructure, latency-sensitive workflows, data sovereignty requirements, and high geographic distribution, according to the announcement. 

The structure gives deploying organizations total control over their data, AI models, and applications, a requirement that has become increasingly prominent among defense agencies, financial institutions, and foreign governments wary of cloud-based AI services operated by U.S. hyperscalers.

Akshay Krishnaswamy, Palantir’s chief architect, framed the offering as a natural extension of the company’s work in sensitive government environments. He noted that every deployment Palantir has managed has had to operate under strict constraints, and that the Nvidia partnership allows customers to build on existing hardware investments while accessing a fully integrated, production-ready system.

Justin Boitano, Nvidia’s vice president of enterprise AI platforms, described the collaboration as a response to the growing complexity of AI infrastructure, arguing that latency-sensitive and data-sovereign deployments require a full-stack approach built from silicon to software.

The announcement came during Palantir’s AIPCon 9 event in Miami, where the company also unveiled a separate multi-year partnership expansion with GE Aerospace focused on military aircraft readiness, and a new collaboration with Ondas and World View to develop a multi-domain intelligence platform. The clustering of announcements signals an accelerating push by Palantir to deepen its footprint across defense, aerospace, and critical infrastructure at a moment when AI spending in those sectors is growing rapidly.

BlackRock’s Staked Ether ETF Posts Solid Debut With $15.5 Million in First-Day Volume

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The launch marks a new chapter for crypto ETFs, blending spot exposure with on-chain yield

BlackRock’s iShares Staked Ethereum Trust debuted Thursday with $15.5 million in first-day trading volume, a result that analysts described as a strong opening for the world’s largest asset manager’s third crypto exchange-traded fund and its first to incorporate staking.

The fund, trading under the ticker ETHB on Nasdaq, launched with $106.7 million in net assets and saw more than 590,000 shares change hands during its debut session. Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart called the performance “very, very solid for a day 1 ETF launch.”

The product represents a meaningful structural evolution from the spot crypto ETFs that preceded it. Unlike traditional spot crypto ETFs, ETHB stakes between 70% and 95% of its ether holdings and distributes approximately 82% of staking rewards to investors through monthly payouts. The remainder is allocated jointly to BlackRock and Coinbase, which acts as custodian and helps coordinate staking operations alongside validator firms Figment, Galaxy Digital, and Bitwise-owned Attestant.

The fund charges a 0.25% sponsor fee, temporarily discounted to 0.12% on the first $2.5 billion in assets, a pricing structure designed to draw early capital and cement ETHB’s position ahead of potential competitors in the staking ETF space.

The debut trailed comparable products tied to Solana. The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF recorded $55.4 million on its October debut, while the REX-Osprey SOL + Staking ETF generated $33.7 million when it launched in July. Even so, analysts note that ether and solana attract meaningfully different investor bases, making a direct volume comparison of limited analytical value.

The launch arrives as ether attempts to consolidate around a key technical level. Ether was trading at roughly $2,110 at the time of the debut, up about 4% over the prior 24 hours, hovering near the psychologically important $2,000 mark after failing to sustain a move above $2,200 earlier in the month.

ETHB adds to BlackRock’s growing crypto ETF lineup, which already includes the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), funds that have attracted over $62.8 billion and $11.9 billion in cumulative inflows respectively since launching in 2024.

If staking ETFs gain broader traction, the structure could open the door to similar yield-generating products tied to other proof-of-stake networks, potentially reshaping how institutional investors think about crypto as an asset class.

Bitcoin Holds Above $71,000 as Crypto Shrugs Off Equity Weakness

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Majors post modest gains Friday as the broader market stays resilient despite turbulence in global stocks

Bitcoin climbed to $71,329 in early trading Friday, extending a quiet stretch of consolidation even as global equities wobbled under the weight of rising oil prices and renewed geopolitical stress.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap rose roughly 2.6% over the prior 24 hours, hovering near the upper bound of a monthlong trading range that analysts say has kept the market in a holding pattern since late January. With $70,000 serving as key support and $73,000 as a closely watched resistance level, bitcoin has yet to mount a decisive breakout in either direction.

The broader crypto market, valued at approximately $2.4 trillion, has tracked bitcoin’s muted trajectory. Ether, solana, cardano and BNB all posted modest advances, while xrp outperformed the group, surging 3% as prices broke above $1.39, a move that CoinDesk analytics data showed was accompanied by a volume spike of more than 300%.

What makes Friday’s trend notable is the decoupling from equities. Stock markets have struggled this week, pressured by elevated energy costs and geopolitical uncertainty, yet crypto has largely absorbed that turbulence without meaningful selling.

Analysts attribute bitcoin’s overall steadiness to a structural shift rather than speculative momentum. Institutions are increasingly exploring bitcoin-native financial infrastructure, including what the industry has begun calling bitcoin DeFi, a trend that may be creating more durable demand below current price levels. Even so, analysts caution that a sustained rally will likely require a fresh influx of capital to push through near-term resistance.

For now, bitcoin and its peers appear content to consolidate. With the Federal Reserve’s March 17-18 meeting on the horizon and oil markets in flux, traders are watching macro developments closely for any catalyst that could finally break the market out of its range.