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Shelton Capital Grows ETF Lineup as Stringer Joins Platform

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In a financial environment marked by volatility and shifting investor expectations, understanding how asset managers adapt has become increasingly important. That perspective was central to a recent discussion with Derek Izuel, chief investment officer at Shelton Capital Management, who outlined the firm’s latest strategic move and what it means for clients navigating today’s markets.

Shelton Capital Management recently announced its acquisition of Stringer Asset Management, a transaction that brings Shelton’s total assets under management to roughly $7 billion. Stringer is known for its ETF based asset allocation strategies and a track record of strong risk adjusted returns. Izuel described the acquisition as a natural extension of Shelton’s long term goal to broaden and strengthen its investment offerings in an increasingly complex market environment.

Izuel noted that client expectations have evolved. Registered investment advisors and individual investors alike are looking for solutions that can withstand elevated volatility, persistent inflation, and uncertain economic conditions. By integrating Stringer’s strategies into its platform, Shelton is expanding its ability to meet those demands, offering tools designed to perform across a wider range of market scenarios.

Among the products highlighted was the SEPI ETF, a new equity income fund built on Shelton’s five star rated equity income mutual fund from Morningstar. Izuel explained that SEPI focuses on high quality companies with strong cash flows and uses covered call strategies to enhance income. The structure allows investors to maintain equity exposure while also seeking to generate consistent income through market volatility.

Izuel also addressed a broader shift in portfolio construction. In an environment of rising inflation and higher interest rates, traditional diversification between stocks and bonds has become less reliable. As a result, investors are increasingly looking for alternatives that can provide income and risk management at the same time. The SEPI ETF is designed to meet that need by blending equity exposure with an income focused strategy that can help smooth returns.

According to Izuel, investors are paying closer attention to how income and risk are balanced within their portfolios. With global economic uncertainty continuing to drive market swings, strategies that can turn volatility into a source of opportunity are gaining traction. Products like SEPI, he said, allow investors to treat volatility as an asset class, generating income while adding a different layer of diversification.

Looking ahead, Izuel emphasized that Shelton Capital Management is focused on delivering investment solutions that go beyond traditional index products. By offering access to strategies that are not always available through conventional mutual funds or passive vehicles, the firm aims to add meaningful value for clients. As market conditions continue to evolve, Izuel said Shelton remains committed to standing alongside investors, providing tailored solutions designed to meet the demands of a changing investment landscape.

Chip Rally and AI Optimism Offset Weaker Jobs Growth

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Phil Rosen, co-founder of Opening Bell Daily, offered a detailed look at the financial markets during a turbulent week on Wall Street, touching on stocks, labor trends, artificial intelligence, and cryptocurrency. His commentary provides a snapshot of the forces shaping markets as 2026 gets underway.

One of the clearest drivers Rosen pointed to was the strength in semiconductor stocks, led by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Strong earnings results, combined with positive trade developments between Taiwan and the United States, have fueled renewed momentum across the chip sector. Rosen noted that names such as Micron, which has climbed roughly 300% over the past year, reflect rising investor confidence in the technology trade, particularly as demand tied to artificial intelligence continues to expand.

Despite escalating geopolitical tensions, including military intervention in Venezuela and ongoing conflict in the Middle East, Rosen observed that markets appear largely undeterred. Asset prices continue to push higher, suggesting that investors are prioritizing earnings growth over geopolitical risk. Rosen raised questions about this apparent disconnect, noting that while global conflicts remain serious, strong corporate results across multiple sectors may be overshadowing those concerns in the short term.

Rosen also addressed a key contradiction in the economic data. Job growth has clearly slowed, yet broader economic indicators remain strong. GDP growth is tracking near 5% for the fourth quarter, signaling robust economic momentum. This divergence highlights what Rosen described as a K-shaped recovery, where certain industries and income groups continue to thrive while others struggle. The imbalance presents ongoing challenges for job seekers and adds another layer of complexity to the current economic picture.

Artificial intelligence remains a central theme for investors, and Rosen said sentiment around the AI trade continues to lean bullish. Analysts and market participants remain optimistic about the long-term potential of AI-driven productivity and earnings growth. At the same time, Rosen cautioned that sentiment can change quickly, reminding investors of the oft-cited advice from Warren Buffett: “be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” The quote, he noted, serves as a reminder that market cycles can turn abruptly.

Turning to cryptocurrency, Rosen described 2025 as a difficult year for Bitcoin, with prices down roughly 5% to 7%. Even so, he emphasized the broader trend, pointing out that Bitcoin is still up about 40% when viewed over a 14-month period. That longer-term performance suggests the potential for renewed momentum in 2026, with outcomes that could vary widely depending on market conditions and investor sentiment.

Overall, Rosen’s analysis captures the mixed signals defining today’s markets. Semiconductor stocks are surging on AI optimism, economic growth remains strong despite softer job data, and geopolitical risks are being weighed against earnings momentum. As investors move deeper into 2026, Rosen suggested that staying alert to both technological shifts and global developments will be critical. In an environment marked by rapid change, preparation and flexibility may prove just as important as conviction.

Esther Pan Sloane’s Shift From UN Diplomacy to Private Credit

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Esther Pan Sloane, managing director of Eyre Street Capital, joined host Jeff Gitterman on FintechTV’s TheImpact to discuss her unconventional path from diplomacy at the United Nations to sustainable investing in the private finance sector. The conversation explored the realities of impact investing, the role of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and how climate change and technological growth are reshaping modern finance.

Pan Sloane’s career began in international relations and development, where she served as a U.S. diplomat and played a role in negotiating the SDGs, which were established in 2015 to promote global prosperity and peace. While the goals are ambitious and well intentioned, she explained that the real challenge lies in mobilizing enough capital to turn them into reality, particularly in underserved regions. That realization ultimately drove her shift from public service into private markets, where she believed capital allocation could be more directly influenced to generate measurable outcomes.

At Eyre Street Capital, Pan Sloane focuses on the growing importance of private capital in solving global challenges. She emphasized that the private sector has become essential to financing sustainable solutions at scale. The firm concentrates on opportunistic private credit investments that deliver environmental benefits, evaluating each deal based on its real-world impact, whether through renewable energy development, waste recycling, or efficiency improvements. According to Pan Sloane, sustainability and profitability are not competing goals but complementary ones.

The discussion also addressed how attitudes toward sustainable investing have evolved over the past decade. Pan Sloane noted that while governments and large institutions once carried most of the responsibility for achieving the SDGs, private finance is now widely recognized as a necessary driver of progress. Without meaningful participation from private investors, she warned, many sustainability targets will remain out of reach.

Artificial intelligence and its rapidly growing energy demands were another key topic. Pan Sloane highlighted the strain AI-driven data centers are placing on power grids and the need for innovative energy solutions to keep pace. She pointed to opportunities for utilities to expand renewable energy capacity and modernize infrastructure, reinforcing the idea that technological advancement must be matched by parallel progress in energy systems.

When discussing emerging energy technologies, Pan Sloane expressed interest in geothermal power and acknowledged the long-term potential of nuclear energy, while also recognizing the extended timelines required for nuclear projects to reach viability. Her investment philosophy prioritizes solutions that can be deployed in the near term rather than those that may take decades to materialize. Eyre Street Capital, she said, is focused on directing capital toward sectors that offer both financial returns and tangible sustainability benefits.

Internationally, Pan Sloane noted that Eyre Street Capital is closely monitoring opportunities beyond the United States, particularly in Europe. Regulatory frameworks around renewable energy are evolving quickly, driven in part by geopolitical pressures such as the war in Ukraine. These developments, she said, underscore the urgency of building resilient and secure energy systems capable of withstanding global disruptions.

A consistent theme throughout the conversation was optimism about the future of sustainable investing, paired with a sense of urgency. Pan Sloane stressed that businesses focused on renewable energy and sustainability are not only viable but increasingly essential as global demand accelerates. Collective action and timely execution, she argued, will determine whether sustainability goals can be met.

As climate resilience and technological innovation continue to converge, the role of finance will only grow more influential. Eyre Street Capital’s model, which aligns sustainability with profitability, illustrates how responsible finance can drive meaningful change while delivering competitive returns. Pan Sloane’s perspective reflects a broader shift within the industry, where impact investing is no longer a niche concept but a critical component of the global financial system.

In closing, Pan Sloane’s insights point to a financial landscape in transition. Impact investing tied to sustainability is emerging as both a powerful investment opportunity and a key mechanism for advancing the SDGs. With leaders like Pan Sloane pushing practical, scalable solutions, the partnership between private capital and sustainable development is positioned for continued growth in the years ahead.

Borderless.xyz Sees Stablecoin Payments Scaling After GENIUS Act

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Kevin Lehtiniitty, CEO of Borderless.xyz, recently made his debut on the show, offering insight into the rapidly evolving world of stablecoin payments. With more than a decade of experience in the stablecoin space, Lehtiniitty is emerging as a key voice during what many see as a revival for the sector, particularly following the passage of the GENIUS Act in the U.S. legislature. His appearance focused on Borderless.xyz’s mission, the growing role of stablecoins in global payments, and the expanding opportunities for entrepreneurs across the crypto ecosystem.

Borderless.xyz is positioning itself around the idea of stablecoin payment networks, addressing what Lehtiniitty described as a major structural gap in the existing financial system. He explained that the current banking infrastructure lacks an efficient global connector similar to how SWIFT functions, especially when it comes to real-time, cross-border transactions. Borderless.xyz aims to fill that void by creating a scalable and sustainable framework for stablecoin payments, allowing local payment providers in different regions to integrate seamlessly while remaining compliant with regulatory standards. This approach, he noted, could significantly improve accessibility and efficiency in cross-border finance.

One topic that drew particular attention was the pricing variability of stablecoins. Lehtiniitty addressed the common question of why stablecoins do not always trade at a consistent value. He explained that pricing differences often depend on the specific stablecoin being used, such as Circle’s USDC or Tether’s USDT, as well as the liquidity available in local markets. In regions like Latin America, USDT tends to dominate due to higher trading volume, which can influence exchange rates against currencies such as the Brazilian real. He added that pricing can vary widely by country, with markets like Argentina and Peru sometimes seeing stablecoin price differences of 5% to 6% depending on the payment provider.

Lehtiniitty also reflected on the early impact of the GENIUS Act, noting a visible increase in stablecoin adoption across multiple sectors. He said the legislation removed key barriers that had previously slowed growth, opening the door for broader mainstream use. Established financial players are already responding. Companies such as Zelle and Western Union are now exploring or developing stablecoin-based offerings, signaling a shift toward integrating digital assets into traditional financial infrastructure. According to Lehtiniitty, this trend reinforces the idea that stablecoins are becoming long-term tools rather than niche products.

The changing landscape is also creating new opportunities for entrepreneurs. As stablecoins gain traction for both peer-to-peer payments and institutional use, Lehtiniitty sees significant room for innovation. He suggested that entrepreneurs can use blockchain technology to build new business models that align with sustainable investing goals, responding to growing demand for transparency, ethical finance, and more efficient global payment solutions.

Although the GENIUS Act has only been in effect for about six months, Lehtiniitty said the early signs are already encouraging. Increased participation from remittance firms, financial institutions, and enterprises points to strong momentum. He described the current period as an exciting inflection point for businesses, consumers, and investors watching the stablecoin space evolve.

Overall, Lehtiniitty’s perspective on Borderless.xyz and the broader stablecoin market paints a picture of an industry in transition. As adoption accelerates and regulation provides clearer guardrails, stablecoins are moving closer to the financial mainstream. For entrepreneurs and investors alike, understanding these developments will be critical to navigating a blockchain ecosystem increasingly shaped by efficiency, scalability, and long-term sustainability.

Economic Outlook Improves as Households Feel the Squeeze

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As the U.S. economy works through another period of uncertainty, Sarah Foster, a U.S. economy reporter and analyst at Bankrate, is offering a clearer view of where conditions stand. In a recent conversation, Foster outlined the market’s recent volatility and shared insight drawn from fresh survey data and emerging economic signals.

Foster described current market behavior as “falling up the stairs,” a phrase she used to capture the uneven and choppy nature of recent price action. Inflation pressures and a cooling labor market remain key challenges, yet optimism among economists has begun to build. According to Bankrate’s latest quarterly survey, 50% of economists now believe economic growth could exceed long-term trends this year, while just 20% expect growth to fall below trend.

Foster pointed to several forces supporting that outlook, with rising investment in artificial intelligence standing out as a meaningful driver of growth. That momentum comes as the Federal Reserve is widely expected to begin cutting interest rates, which could provide additional support for the economy. Still, the optimism seen among economists has not translated to households. Consumer sentiment remains subdued, with a large share of respondents saying they expect their personal finances to worsen over the next year, reflecting persistent financial strain among lower-income families.

A central theme in Foster’s analysis was the reality of a K-shaped economy, where recovery has been uneven across income groups. While some households and sectors continue to benefit from economic growth, lower-income Americans are feeling increased pressure from inflation. Foster noted that roughly 50% of credit cardholders are now carrying balances from month to month, a trend that raises concerns about long-term financial stability for those already struggling to keep up with rising costs.

The labor market also remains a mixed picture. Foster highlighted a noticeable slowdown in job growth in 2025 compared with 2024, underscoring the difficulty many households face in finding stable work. While initial jobless claims have declined, she emphasized that conditions remain challenging for lower-income workers. Many are still underemployed or effectively “stuck,” pointing to a labor market that is tight in headline numbers but uneven in lived experience.

Looking ahead, Foster stressed that understanding the economy will require attention to both broad macro trends and the everyday realities facing different groups of Americans. Her analysis highlights the need for policies that address widening gaps in the K-shaped recovery while closely monitoring inflation and consumer confidence. While AI investment could help support future growth, she noted that sustainable progress will depend on efforts to ease financial disparities and strengthen household balance sheets.

Overall, Foster’s insights depict an economy with real potential but meaningful obstacles still in place. The path forward will require action from policymakers and businesses alike to build a more resilient and inclusive system. Achieving lasting growth, she suggested, ultimately depends on ensuring that economic gains translate into greater financial security for a broader share of Americans.

Earnings Season Spurs Rotation Away From Mega-Cap Tech

The financial markets are showing signs of a meaningful shift, with capital rotating across sectors as investors reassess positioning heading toward the end of the first quarter of 2026. Recent commentary from Eddie Ghabour, co-founder and CEO of KEY Advisors Wealth Management, points to several emerging trends shaping investment strategies in the current environment. His assessment of market behavior and economic signals offers useful perspective for investors seeking to refine their portfolios amid changing conditions.

According to Ghabour, market strength has remained intact through the long holiday weekend, with the Dow and S&P 500 reaching record highs alongside continued gains in precious metals. These developments suggest a constructive economic outlook for the year ahead. Notably, sectors typically viewed as economically sensitive have begun to outperform leading technology stocks, signaling a broadening of the rally. Ghabour views this expansion as a healthy development, reflecting a more balanced market structure that supports both stability and growth.

A central theme in Ghabour’s outlook is the role of productivity gains driven by advancements in artificial intelligence. He expects these gains to translate into stronger corporate profit margins, particularly within small-cap stocks and economically sensitive industries. As earnings season approaches, Ghabour anticipates positive surprises from these segments, arguing that earlier market pessimism may have understated the potential for growth.

Ghabour encourages investors to move beyond concentrated exposure to large technology names and adopt a more diversified approach. He points to homebuilders, small-cap companies, and industrials as areas aligned with an accelerating economy. Regional banks and select financial stocks also stand out in his analysis, particularly institutions with limited exposure to higher-risk consumer credit. He believes these areas are well positioned to benefit as economic momentum builds.

Gold continues to play an important role in portfolio diversification, according to Ghabour. He views the metal as a stabilizing asset that can help offset inflation risk and market volatility, especially at a time when traditional bond allocations may offer less protection.

With earnings season underway, Ghabour highlighted the importance of regional banks in supporting small business growth. These institutions are expected to expand lending activity, which could provide a tailwind for smaller companies. He also noted that a potentially looser regulatory environment would further support regional banks, enhancing their ability to take advantage of improving economic conditions.

Turning to monetary policy, Ghabour expects the Federal Reserve to implement as many as three interest rate cuts this year, driven by easing inflation pressures. He sees this outlook as consistent with broader optimism around market stability and supportive of continued gains across multiple sectors.

Overall, Ghabour’s analysis outlines a market that is gradually shifting toward economically sensitive areas and smaller companies. By reallocating toward sectors such as regional banks, industrials, and housing-related stocks, investors may find opportunities for both growth and resilience. As 2026 progresses, the combination of easing inflation, improving productivity, and a broader market rally underscores the importance of diversification and forward-looking investment strategies.

Major Sports Events Poised to Drive Billions in Economic Activity

The countdown to a packed year in sports is officially on. With the Winter Olympics just weeks away in Italy, the Super Bowl approaching in the United States, and the World Cup set for the summer with several matches in nearby New Jersey, momentum across the sports world is building quickly. To break down what lies ahead, Rick Horrow, CEO of Horrow Sports Ventures, shared his outlook on the year’s biggest events, their economic footprint, and the growing influence of sports betting.

Horrow expressed particular excitement about the upcoming Winter Olympics, noting the return of NHL players for the first time since 2014. He pointed to the Games’ $1.7 billion budget, emphasizing that this edition has a far more disciplined financial structure compared to previous Olympics that resulted in massive losses for host cities. Broadcasting investment also remains substantial, with NBCUniversal committing $1 billion in rights fees. Roughly 2,900 athletes from 90 countries are expected to compete, making the Games a major global draw for fans and sponsors alike.

Attention then turns to the summer and the World Cup, which Horrow highlighted as another economic powerhouse. Mexico City will serve as a central host in June, while matches will also be played at MetLife Stadium, including the final. The expanded tournament will feature 48 teams across 104 matches, with attendance projected to exceed 6.5 million. The economic impact is expected to reach $3 billion, with New York positioned as one of the biggest beneficiaries, underscoring how deeply major sporting events are tied to regional economies.

The college sports calendar adds another major moment with the upcoming national championship game. A lifelong Miamian, Horrow acknowledged his personal connection to the matchup between the University of Miami and Indiana. Demand for tickets at Hard Rock Stadium has pushed prices to record levels, reflecting the premium nature of top-tier college athletics. With an estimated $4 billion economic impact from 47 playoff and postseason games, the championship highlights the expanding business engine behind collegiate sports.

At the same time, Horrow addressed growing concerns surrounding sports betting integrity. Recent scandals involving point shaving and fixed outcomes, particularly in college basketball, have raised alarms. With the sports betting market expected to reach $13.7 billion by 2024 and more than $150 billion already wagered, regulation remains a challenge. Horrow noted that these incidents are fueling conversations around tighter controls, including restrictions on prop bets and stronger age enforcement to protect both athletes and consumers.

Looking ahead to 2026, Horrow outlined several trends he expects to reshape the sports landscape. He anticipates the college football playoff expanding to at least 16 teams, further cementing the sport’s dominance in viewership and revenue. The National Football League is also on track to surpass $25 billion in net revenue, reinforcing its position as the most powerful league in global sports. On the international stage, Horrow noted that Curacao and Uzbekistan have qualified for the World Cup for the first time, signaling broader global participation and growing interest in the tournament.

As the year unfolds, the convergence of major sporting events and economic impact will remain front and center. From global tournaments to domestic championships, the sports industry faces both opportunity and scrutiny. With high stakes on and off the field, the months ahead promise continued discussion around growth, governance, and the evolving business of sports.

Market Rotation Gains Steam as Investors Eye Small-Caps

In a wide-ranging conversation on the current market environment, Peter Tuchman, senior floor trader at TradeMas, shared his perspective on the market rotation taking shape during earnings season. His commentary offers a closer look at shifting investor behavior and what it could mean for portfolios as 2026 unfolds.

As earnings season gains momentum, markets have seen sharp moves, led in part by a strong rally in banking stocks following solid results from major Wall Street institutions. Technology has also remained in focus, with upbeat guidance from Taiwan Semiconductor fueling gains in AI-related names. At the same time, larger-cap stocks have struggled to maintain leadership, while smaller companies have begun to attract renewed interest. That shift has helped push the Russell 2000 ahead of both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500.

Tuchman said the trend reflects a meaningful repositioning by investors. “People are literally getting out of some of their higher flyers and they’re getting into some nice mid-cap, small-caps,” he noted. The move suggests a growing search for value and stability as uncertainty continues to shape the broader market backdrop.

From a technical standpoint, Tuchman pointed to key resistance levels that traders are watching closely, including Dow 50,000 and S&P 7000. Those thresholds have proven difficult to break, and he cautioned that progress will likely require patience and discipline. “It feels like they’re not going to let us get there easily,” he said, underscoring the need for thoughtful positioning as markets test these levels.

Tuchman also touched on the seasonal tendencies that often influence investor sentiment. Referencing the long-standing Wall Street saying, “As January goes, so goes the market for the rest of the year,” he expressed cautious optimism about the months ahead. Still, he acknowledged that geopolitical uncertainty remains a lingering concern that could disrupt momentum.

Global politics continue to play a critical role in market volatility. Tuchman highlighted potential flashpoints, including tensions involving Iran and developments among major oil-producing nations such as Venezuela, Russia, and China. These geopolitical dynamics add another layer of unpredictability, reinforcing the importance of staying alert as conditions evolve.

Looking to the near term, Tuchman noted that the upcoming holiday weekend could introduce additional uncertainty, a pattern traders are familiar with. Beyond U.S. markets, global events like the upcoming Davos meeting also carry weight. As world leaders and executives gather for high-level discussions, their messaging and outcomes could influence market sentiment in either direction.

With earnings reports continuing to roll in alongside technical resistance and geopolitical risk, Tuchman suggested investors remain proactive. He pointed to opportunities in mid-cap and value-oriented names while maintaining balanced exposure to larger-cap stocks as a way to navigate lingering uncertainty.

Overall, Tuchman’s insights offer a clear snapshot of a market in transition. His analysis highlights how earnings, technical levels, and global events are intersecting to shape investor behavior. For those willing to stay informed and adaptable, the current environment presents both challenges and opportunities as the market continues to find its footing in 2026.

Greenland Push Raises NATO Concerns, Young Says

Patrick L. Young, chairman and founder of Exchange Invest, offered a wide-ranging assessment of global geopolitics and economic trends, touching on Greenland, NATO, and U.S. foreign policy under President Trump. As tensions rise over the possibility of a U.S. acquisition of Greenland, Young described a period of growing strain in transatlantic relations. Denmark and Greenland have moved closer together on defense coordination, while European allies signal increasing unease with Washington’s posture. According to Young, NATO partners are watching closely as the United States navigates sensitive territory involving military presence and territorial negotiations. Recent troop deployments by European nations underscore a collective show of support for Greenland and reflect resistance to any perceived U.S. aggression. Young warned that Trump’s provocative stance on Greenland risks undermining NATO cohesion and could mark a troubling shift in U.S. European relations.

The discussion then turned to the upcoming World Economic Forum in Davos, where Trump is expected to outline his administration’s approach to key economic challenges. Young used the opportunity to critique the global central banking system, focusing in particular on Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, and the pressures surrounding his leadership. He argued that the public support Powell receives from global central bankers reflects entrenched self-interest within financial governance. Young pointed to the last two decades of central bank policy, including quantitative easing, as having disproportionately benefited the wealthy and widened the gap between rich and poor.

That imbalance, Young said, helps explain why a new generation of investors is increasingly drawn to alternative financial systems such as cryptocurrency. Blockchain-based ecosystems, both local and global, are gaining traction as investors seek greater transparency and fairness compared with traditional monetary systems that many view as opaque. This shift signals a broader reassessment of how value is stored, transferred, and protected in an evolving financial landscape.

Young also addressed rising tensions in the Middle East, including U.S. military actions linked to Iran’s treatment of its citizens. He offered a measured view of potential U.S. intervention under Trump, acknowledging Iran’s deep history and strong sense of national identity. While intervention could open the door to reform, Young stressed that any U.S. action must carefully account for local sentiment and the broader international consequences.

Looking beyond Iran, Young expressed cautious optimism about political and social change across several regions, from Cuba to Venezuela and elsewhere. He suggested that the possibility of political shifts in countries like Iran reflects a wider pattern of global evolution in governance. As 2026 begins, these developments could have far-reaching implications that extend well beyond individual national borders.

Overall, Young’s commentary highlighted the close link between geopolitics and economics in shaping global power dynamics. From U.S. foreign policy decisions to the structure of financial systems, political choices continue to ripple through markets and societies alike. As nations confront change and uncertainty, Young emphasized that the resilience of people and the protection of individual rights remain central concerns. For investors, policymakers, and businesses, staying informed and engaged will be critical as markets adapt to shifting political realities rather than simply reacting to them.

Crypto Crime Hits $150 Billion as States Turn to Digital Assets

The 2026 Crypto Crime Report from TRM Labs paints a stark picture of the growing role digital assets play in global illicit finance. According to the report, illicit crypto flows surged to an estimated $150 billion last year, a sharp increase that reflects how state and state-aligned actors are increasingly embedding cryptocurrency into their financial operations. The findings highlight the continued dominance of Russian-linked networks in sanctions evasion, rising institutional crypto adoption in economies such as Venezuela, and China’s emergence as a major hub for illicit crypto services. Much of that activity is tied to Chinese-language escrow platforms and underground banking networks, which have expanded significantly over the past five years.

Offering insight into the report’s findings is Ari Redbord, global head of policy at TRM Labs. Redbord points to a 140% increase in illicit cryptocurrency activity as one of the report’s most striking conclusions. His analysis sheds light on how these trends are reshaping global finance, the difficult balance facing countries like Venezuela, and what lies ahead for crypto regulation and infrastructure.

Redbord explained that illicit crypto activity spans a wide range of offenses, including money laundering, fraud, and transactions involving sanctioned entities. While illicit transactions still account for a relatively small share of total crypto activity, roughly 1.2% to 1.4%, the dollar volume continues to rise alongside broader crypto adoption. That growth, he said, reflects the expansion of both criminal networks and legitimate crypto markets operating in parallel.

Geopolitical pressures have further accelerated the use of crypto infrastructure by nation-states, Redbord noted. In some cases, governments and affiliated groups are turning to digital assets to move funds when traditional financial channels are restricted. He cited reports that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has used crypto to raise and transfer funds, underscoring the increasingly complex intersection of state finance and blockchain technology.

Venezuela stands out as one of the most revealing examples in the report. Years of hyperinflation have pushed citizens toward stablecoins and peer-to-peer markets as alternative financial systems. Despite its relatively small economy, Venezuela ranked 11th in TRM Labs’ global crypto adoption index. For many residents, stablecoins have become a critical financial lifeline amid economic instability. At the same time, the Maduro regime has also turned to cryptocurrency as a means of bypassing U.S. sanctions.

That dual use highlights a growing challenge, Redbord said. While everyday users rely on crypto for basic financial stability, the same tools can be exploited by governments and sanctioned actors for illicit purposes. As the crypto ecosystem continues to expand, Redbord expects both lawful and unlawful activity to grow in tandem, driven by citizen demand for stability and state efforts to evade financial restrictions.

On the regulatory front, Redbord expressed cautious optimism. He pointed to ongoing discussions around a market structure bill aimed at curbing illicit finance while preserving space for blockchain innovation. Despite political friction in Washington, he believes dialogue among lawmakers, regulators, law enforcement, and the crypto industry is moving toward a more balanced framework that supports growth without undermining oversight.

One area drawing particular attention is the treatment of stablecoin yields. Redbord noted that as traditional financial institutions deepen their involvement with digital assets, clarity around how stablecoins are regulated and used has become increasingly important. While negotiations remain contentious, he suggested momentum could shift toward more constructive policy outcomes in the near term.

Looking ahead through 2026, Redbord identified two key themes to watch. The first is the accelerating engagement of traditional financial institutions with crypto markets. Recent weeks have already shown meaningful steps toward integration rather than isolation. The second is the continued use of crypto infrastructure for a wide range of purposes, from legitimate financial access to sanctions evasion.

The contrasting use cases highlighted in countries like Venezuela and among sanctioned entities underscore the broader challenge facing policymakers. Cryptocurrency has emerged as both a legitimate financial tool and a vehicle for illicit activity. Managing that tension will require careful oversight that allows ethical use while limiting abuse.

Overall, the 2026 Crypto Crime Report underscores the dual nature of the crypto ecosystem. It highlights the technology’s potential to reshape global finance while exposing the risks that come with rapid adoption. As digital assets continue to mature, coordinated efforts across government, industry, and law enforcement will be critical to building regulatory frameworks that protect against misuse while supporting innovation and long-term financial growth.